Why this Majority-Minority Community Lack Retail & Restaurant Diversity?

Photo credit: Eater Atlanta 

Despite comparable or higher median income and traffic counts to other Atlanta suburban areas, diverse retail and entertainment venues shun southern DeKalb

Research Inspired by Hunger

This article was originally written in 2015 after my wife and I contemplated what we were having for dinner. Anything was okay if it didn’t involve firing up the stove, so we settled on Willy’s. My thoughts on biting into a tasty veggie quesadilla went from happy to stressful in half of a second: it was 9:40 pm, and I knew that Willy’s would be closing in 20 minutes! Thoughts of “can I make it in time” danced in my head. If we were living in Midtown, Buckhead, or near Emory, I wouldn’t be stressed about time, but we lived near Wesley Chapel Road in south DeKalb and the closest Willy’s is about 20 minutes away, near Little Five Points.  While I won’t say how fast I drove in order to make it to Willy’s before closing time, I made it. It was a reminder that the area I chose to live in, doesn’t have much of a choice in restaurants beyond fast food outlets.

Since then, southern Dekalb, outside of the city of Stonecrest, saw the opening of a second McDonalds on Wesley Chapel Road, a couple of donut shops, a Starbucks inside of the Flat Shoals Parkway Kroger, a second try at a sit-down restaurant on Wesley Chapel Road and most recently, a Chipotle. This is hardly the type of news to get excited by in an area with the potential to attract much more. Southern DeKalb should be on the radar of many developers, and retailers because of its location (close to the airport, major freeways, and proximity to downtown Atlanta).

Whole Foods, Trader Joe’s, Starbucks, Taco Mac, and Zoe’s Kitchen, are but a few national retailers that are found in other parts of metro Atlanta-sometimes with several outlets in close proximity. But they are nowhere to be seen in southern DeKalb.

The above retailers may say that the demographics in southern DeKalb might not ‘fit their business model’. One demographics metric widely used is median income. Comparing population and median household income data between 5 south DeKalb ZIP codes and selected metro Atlanta suburbs, you’ll find a few interesting things. Lawrenceville, with a population of about 31,000, has six Starbucks, four Japanese restaurants, 12 Italian restaurants, a Longhorn Steakhouse, 10 Mediterranean restaurants, 13 Thai restaurants, 15 seafood restaurants, Moe’s Southwest Grill, a Cold Stone Creamery, a Sprouts Supermarket, all in an area with a median household income of $52,585. This is $940 a year more than the median household income in southern Dekalb.

To put in another perspective, in the most recent Census report, southern DeKalb had $814.4 million in retail sales. If this sounds like a large number, it’s not. That’s less than what Lawrenceville, Douglasville, and Conyers generated. Those cities are much less populated, so when adjusted for population, southern DeKalb saw a dismal $2,892 retail sales per capita, or in southern Dekalb, the retail sales were $2,892 per person, per year. This is compared to Lawrenceville’s $28,795, Conyers’ $48,396 in retail sales per capita. Even Covington saw retail sales per capita of $29,788, and a poverty rate of 29%, more than ten percentage points higher than the poverty rate in southern Dekalb.

Community Want Change

This is an update on seeing how southern DeKalb compares to other areas around metro Atlanta. The included areas have one thing in common: they are known for having lots of diverse retail and entertainment options. The biggest complaint on NextDoor and Facebook among south DeKalb residents has been the low amount or lack of higher quality retail in the area. I collected data that restaurants use to determine if they are opening a new outlet: population, median household income, poverty rate, and traffic counts.

According to the Entrepreneur article, “How to Find the Best Location”, determining where to locate a restaurant can be simple or complex. “There are, for instance, sophisticated location analysis tools available that include traffic pattern information, demographic and lifestyle data, and competitive analyses.”

How Does Southern DeKalb Compare?

Census tract data in the proposed city and ZIP codes were used in this analysis: some of 30316, 30035, 30058, 30083, and 30087, and all of 30032, 30034, and 30088. ZIP code 30038 was not included as it’s a part of the city of Stonecrest. South DeKalb compares favorably on median household income with the others. So, it must be another number these restaurants are using to determine where they’ll open up.

Poverty is another determining factor when companies decide to open a location, and while the poverty rate in southern DeKalb is 18.9%, it’s more than 10 percentage points lower than Covington’s and a little lower than Lawrenceville’s.

Traffic counts are conducted by the state of Georgia for traffic signal optimization, intersection improvements, and other updates to help with improving traffic flow. The numbers show how many vehicles travel on the roadways every day. In the section of Wesley Chapel between Snapfinger Road and I-20, the most recent traffic count is 51,600. Wesley Chapel Road carries 29,200 vehicles each day north or I-20 to South Hairston Road. This averages out to more than 40,000 vehicles a day in the Wesley Chapel commercial district between Snapfinger Road and South Hairston Road. This is higher than the Lenox Road/Peachtree Road intersection at Phipps Plaza and Lenox Square, Moreland Avenue at Edgewood Retail District, Hugh Howell at the new Cofer Center Plaza, and 17th Street at the Downtown Connector at Atlantic Station. Even Ashford-Dunwoody Road, with Perimeter Mall and all of the office and retail, carries only about 5,400 more vehicles a day than what goes past the Wesley Chapel commercial district.

The number listed on the bar is the largest traffic count found anywhere on that road.

Comparing populations, median household incomes, and traffic counts around metro Atlanta, we see that southern DeKalb County compares favorably with other areas, but it doesn’t have what the other comparable areas have. The question we all should ask is why southern DeKalb County doesn’t have diverse retail and entertainment options. It compares favorably in the areas that retailers and entertainment venues look at when determining where they are opening a new location.

There is a push for change in southern Dekalb. Having diverse retail and entertainment options is part of what makes a community a great place to live in. Quality of life is a big part of what attracts people to invest in an area. While southern DeKalb has grown in population, and homes are gaining value from the great recession’s depressed prices, our community is in a sort of a holding pattern. We are getting new restaurants like chicken wings and fast-food places. But what about restaurants offering healthy options? What about getting Sprouts or Trader Joe’s?

Some residents are offering the idea of cityhood for much of southern DeKalb County. This gives its residents more control over the things they find important such as attracting more quality development, housing, and diverse retail and entertainment venues for the family.

These data show that southern DeKalb has the numbers to compete with the Conyers and Lawrencevilles to attract development, the diverse retail, and quality family entertainment venues. Many residents have engaged with the government for many years and are tired of doing the same thing and getting the same result.

Sources:

U.S. Census Bureau

Census Reporter

ZipDataMaps

Georgia DOT

Related Articles

Comparing Metro Atlanta School Districts

Unequal Development: How Does North and South Decatur Differ?

Unequal Development: How Does North and South Decatur Differ?

‘We Full’

No matter where you go in metro Atlanta, you’ll see signs of a fast-growing metro area: worsening traffic, new construction, and schools bursting at the seams. Many Atlantans share a meme with bad traffic and the caption “We Full”. Indeed, the city of Atlanta and the surrounding metro area is growing to the tune of 75,000 plus new residents between 2017 and 2018 according to the most recent Census estimates. Since the last official census to 2010, metro Atlanta has added 663,201 people, or like adding the city of Nashville to the metro area.

There’s an area of metro Atlanta with the perfect ingredients for growth like everywhere else. It’s close to the airport, has easy interstate access, it’s close to downtown, midtown, and the rapidly growing intown neighborhoods on the eastside, and has a variety of housing, much of which is affordable. This area is seeing an influx of new residents, but new development is virtually nonexistent. This area is south DeKalb.  

History of an Area: 1960s – 1990s

It hasn’t always been this way for south DeKalb. The area grew fast between the late 60s through the late nineties. As the once largely rural area became more suburban, black residents came in and white residents left – and as white flight goes, businesses and jobs left. Even with all the new housing developments built over the past four decades, the area is still the most undeveloped part of DeKalb County.

As south DeKalb added more residents and lost more chain and choice retail stores, DeKalb County welcomed more businesses – mostly in north DeKalb. The northern end of the county soon got cityhood fever with Dunwoody, Brookhaven, and Tucker staking their respective territories. The area around Perimeter Mall (Dunwoody) and Brookhaven added more shopping, big hotels, and high-rise office buildings. The area around I-20 east and I-285, Panola and Wesley Chapel added more dollar stores, fast food restaurants, and cheap motels.  

Long-time south DeKalb residents met with their county commissioners to demand more development and better choices. They’d get the Mall at Stonecrest and the surrounding explosion of retail centers, restaurants, and big-box stores in the early 2000s and jewels like the Sanford Porter Performing Arts Center. But they also wanted to eat out at a nice restaurant close to home or take the family out for entertainment for something other than the movies (which also saw a decline in the number of theaters).

South DeKalb is no Slacker

In the article, Why it’s Time for Change in Southern DeKalb County, some surprising findings were uncovered about south DeKalb. It noted that despite having major roads with high traffic counts, a large population, and median household incomes similar to several metro Atlanta cities, certain retailers and restaurants seem to shun the area.

As Dunwoody and Brookhaven started getting more selective in which types of development they wanted, putting up their respective ‘we full’ signs, developers soon fell in love with north Decatur. This area, centered around North Decatur Road, Scott Boulevard, and Church Street, is the home of two new shopping centers, Emory Decatur Hospital, and is less than a 10-minute drive from Emory University and the CDC.

Residents of south DeKalb yearned for more upscale housing, aesthetically pleasing roadways and businesses, healthier grocery and restaurant options. Residents of north DeKalb welcomed not one, but two health food stores, millennial-attracting housing, spruced up roadways and businesses, and a multitude of fast-casual and upscale restaurants. The Gallery at South Dekalb, AKA South DeKalb Mall, can’t keep a movie theater while North Dekalb Mall, which has a fraction of the business the Gallery at South DeKalb has, has a thriving multiplex theater.

How Does North and South Decatur Differ?

These observations powered my questions about the differences between north and south Decatur, reflecting the omission of the cities of Stonecrest, Lithonia, Dunwoody, Brookhaven, Tucker, Chamblee, and Doraville from this conversation. I included the city of Decatur in the north Decatur data (which could have been split north and south to go with the respective north and south Decatur demographics). Zip code 30317, split north-south by Memorial Drive and bordered on the south by Glenwood Road, was included with south Decatur’s data.

The population difference between the two areas is stark: south Decatur has a little more than 126,000 residents, while north Decatur has a little more than 67,000. Racial demographics are even more lopsided: There are six times more white residents in north Decatur (almost 66%, versus less than 11% in south Decatur) and four and a half times more black residents in south Decatur (85.5% vs 18.9% in north Decatur). The median age is a little older in south Decatur (36 years, compared to north Decatur, 35.75 years). The median home value in south Decatur is a little more than half that of north Decatur ($124,400 vs $245,750). Median household incomes between the north and south are $53,578 and $45,033 respectively, a difference of $8,545.

Population Comparison Between North and South Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Percentage of Racial/Ethnic Groups in South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Median House Values – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Median Household Income – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

However, it also has a big minus – generic cialis tadalafil a high price. Such type of pharmacies are to levitra online order be avoided by women as they are specifically meant for men with ED. The medicine is available in the tablets and order cialis online jelly form. As you viagra italy can see, ladies abandoned allegation a little accession with their beastly action and Provestra is adequate for that.

Nearly half of north Decatur residents are married while a little more than a third of south Decatur residents are married (49.8% vs 34.4%) and 51.5% of the homes are owned compared to 47.12% of homes owned in south Decatur. A higher percentage of north Decatur homes are rented than in south Decatur (38.3% vs 35.98%). There are 6.7% more vacant homes in south Decatur than in north Decatur (16.9% vs 10.2%).

 

Percentage of Married Population – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Percentage of Homes Owned – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Percentage of Homes Rented – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Percentage of Homes Vacant – South and North Decatur

Data source: Moving.com

 

Is this Why North Decatur Get All the Good Stuff?

The takeaways are north Decatur might be seeing more development because of its proximity to major employment centers of Emory University, CDC, Emory Decatur Hospital, and all the ancillary organizations. This area is more racially diverse, has a higher median household income, the residents are married at a higher percentage, and more homes are owned and there are almost 7% fewer vacant houses in north Decatur. The last three metrics are just some important factors retailers consider when opening a new location, which suggests a long-term commitment to a community with ‘most likely’ scenarios such as starting a family, staying in the area longer, and less blight from vacant homes. The median age differences in both areas are negligible.

 

How Diverse is South Decatur?

Data source: Moving.com

 

How Diverse is North Decatur?

Data source: Moving.com